Leslie persists in the Atlantic and a Caribbean disturbance are what we'll focus on for today's Tropics check.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).
The complex was upgraded to a tropical depression Sunday morning. "Isolated amounts of 12" of rain are possible in western Cuba.
Exact tracks and strength will likely waver a bit over the next couple of days as this storm continues to form and push to the north into the Gulf of Mexico.
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The system, now located near the northeastern coasts of Nicaragua and Honduras, was forecast by the US -based National Hurricane Center at a 40 percent chance of tropical formation by Tuesday. Landfall will likely occur somewhere between the Florida Peninsula and the MS coast. Our chance of receive rain from this system is good, but it is too early to tell how much. Leslie is now located about 455 miles east of Bermuda. The model has the storm passing through SC sometime between Wednesday evening and Thursday afternoon as a tropical storm before weakening back to a depression.
At 11 a.m. Friday, Leslie was packing 65 miles per hour winds and moving north-northwest at 9 miles per hour. The minimum central pressure is 987 mb.
The National Hurricane Center at 4 p.m. CDT issued its first advisory on the storm, which is getting better organized over the northwestern Caribbean Sea.
That cold front responsible for the showers, will continue our temperature swings, sending us back to the lower 60s to round out the Columbus Day holiday weekend on Monday.